Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

12.46%

decreased by 0.65%

1 Week

12.76%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Month

13.80%

increased by 0.69%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 48 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 48 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 48-day half-lifev = 9.23 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.6862
2.44**
αARCH0.0955
8.32***
βGARCH0.9857
160.48***
νDF9.2259
1.35

0.986

Persistence

48d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.6862
2.44**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0955
8.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9857
160.48***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.2259
1.35

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

48 days