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V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

16.46%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Week

16.68%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

17.22%

increased by 0.65%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 09:51 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 271% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0460
14.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8246
118.27***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1249
21.81***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0126
5.68***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0483
4.65***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9441
78.85***

Persistence:

0.933

Half-life:

10 days