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iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

18.26%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Week

18.24%

decreased by 0.24%

1 Month

18.33%

decreased by 0.15%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:15 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 307% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 307% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow91
αARCH0.0358
3.26***
βGARCH0.8610
60.96***
γleverage0.1100
6.32***
λ₁tau intercept0.2411
4.35***
λ₂forecast adj.0.8546
22.91***
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0358
3.26***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8610
60.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1100
6.32***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2411
4.35***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.8546
22.91***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days