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iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

14.72%

increased by 1.07%

1 Week

14.84%

increased by 1.19%

1 Month

15.30%

increased by 1.65%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, October 20, 2026 at 02:18 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 265% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 265% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow56
αARCH0.0450
3.71***
βGARCH0.8384
53.65***
γleverage0.1192
6.38***
λ₁tau intercept0.0147
2.44**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0542
4.30***
λ₃tau persistence0.9368
61.68***

0.943

Persistence

12d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

56
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0450
3.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8384
53.65***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1192
6.38***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0147
2.44**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0542
4.30***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9368
61.68***

Persistence:

0.943

Half-life:

12 days