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V-Lab

iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026

1 Day

13.36%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Week

13.81%

decreased by 0.11%

1 Month

14.83%

increased by 0.91%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares Select U.S. REIT ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 2, 2001 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 268% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 268% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow41
αARCH0.0463
3.60***
βGARCH0.8251
49.42***
γleverage0.1242
6.36***
λ₁tau intercept0.0125
2.41**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0478
3.92***
λ₃tau persistence0.9446
65.90***

0.934

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0463
3.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8251
49.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1242
6.36***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0125
2.41**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0478
3.92***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9446
65.90***

Persistence:

0.934

Half-life:

10 days