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V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

18.24%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

18.45%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Month

19.23%

increased by 0.09%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 252% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.23 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0281
22.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0804
26.72***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9158
344.03***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4702
12.75***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.2329
28.05***

Persistence:

0.984

Half-life:

42 days