V-Lab
Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
19.43%
increased by 1.68%
1 Week
19.58%
increased by 1.83%
1 Month
20.13%
increased by 2.38%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 59 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 59 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0294 | 18.56*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0895 | 31.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8988 | 326.95*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
59 days
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