Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
20.28%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Week
20.38%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
20.74%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 66 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 66 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.96 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 66-day half-lifev = 9.96 · fat tails
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωlong-run | 2.4035 | 1.82* |
| αscore | 0.0835 | 7.80*** |
| βpersistence | 0.9895 | 162.29*** |
| νDF | 9.9551 | 0.99 |
0.989
Persistence66d
Half-life𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω long-run Long-run variance given a price move | 2.4035 | 1.82* |
α score Weight on the scaled score | 0.0835 | 7.80*** |
β persistence Volatility persistence | 0.9895 | 162.29*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 9.9551 | 0.99 |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
66 days
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