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Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026

1 Day

16.35%

decreased by 0.43%

1 Week

16.56%

decreased by 0.22%

1 Month

17.31%

increased by 0.53%

Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:40 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/19/2024

to

10/19/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 9.73 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-lifev = 9.73 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.3891
1.79*
αARCH0.0824
7.85***
βGARCH0.9897
163.53***
νDF9.7331
1.01

0.990

Persistence

67d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.3891
1.79*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0824
7.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9897
163.53***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

9.7331
1.01

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

67 days