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V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

16.97%

decreased by 0.59%

1 Week

17.07%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Month

17.50%

decreased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow76
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8846
74.04***
γleverage0.1319
8.09***
λ₁tau intercept0.0421
1.77*
λ₂forecast adj.0.1916
5.19***
λ₃tau persistence0.7859
17.86***

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8846
74.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1319
8.09***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0421
1.77*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1916
5.19***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7859
17.86***

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days