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V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

16.13%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

16.57%

increased by 0.07%

1 Month

17.80%

increased by 1.30%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

76
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8843
277.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1322
32.99***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0433
6.53***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1951
16.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.7821
54.70***

Persistence:

0.950

Half-life:

14 days