Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 21st, 2026
1 Day
18.55%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Week
18.50%
decreased by 0.43%
1 Month
18.80%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Monday, July 20, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 76 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8844 | 276.98*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1323 | 32.96*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0427 | 6.56*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1926 | 16.12*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7849 | 55.35*** |
Persistence:
0.951
Half-life:
14 days
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