Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 30th, 2026

1 Day

18.94%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

19.06%

increased by 0.06%

1 Month

19.47%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Sep 25, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 333% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 333% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0304
3.40***
αARCH0.0266
2.11**
βGARCH0.9139
93.06***
γleverage0.0887
3.52***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0304
3.40***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0266
2.11**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9139
93.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0887
3.52***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days