Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026
1 Day
20.25%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
20.32%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Month
20.57%
decreased by 0.28%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Nov 6, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 317% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 317% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0303 | 3.46*** |
| αARCH | 0.0274 | 2.18** |
| βGARCH | 0.9141 | 93.88*** |
| γleverage | 0.0868 | 3.45*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0303 | 3.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0274 | 2.18** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9141 | 93.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0868 | 3.45*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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