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V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026

1 Day

17.10%

decreased by 0.54%

1 Week

17.29%

decreased by 0.35%

1 Month

17.96%

increased by 0.32%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 334% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0306
13.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0267
8.42***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9136
371.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0891
14.02***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days