V-Lab
Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 12th, 2026
1 Day
17.10%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
17.29%
decreased by 0.35%
1 Month
17.96%
increased by 0.32%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 11, 2026 at 10:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 334% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0306 | 13.58*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0267 | 8.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9136 | 371.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0891 | 14.02*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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