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Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

20.25%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

20.32%

decreased by 0.53%

1 Month

20.57%

decreased by 0.28%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 03:21 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 317% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 317% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0303
3.46***
αARCH0.0274
2.18**
βGARCH0.9141
93.88***
γleverage0.0868
3.45***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0303
3.46***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0274
2.18**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9141
93.88***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0868
3.45***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days