Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, October 20th, 2026
1 Day
18.14%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Week
18.28%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Month
18.78%
increased by 0.33%
Analysis last updated: Monday, October 19, 2026 at 09:39 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 327% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 327% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0302 | 3.42*** |
| αARCH | 0.0268 | 2.13** |
| βGARCH | 0.9141 | 93.56*** |
| γleverage | 0.0878 | 3.50*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0302 | 3.42*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0268 | 2.13** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9141 | 93.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0878 | 3.50*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
Other Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs