V-Lab
Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
16.74%
decreased by 0.53%
1 Week
16.94%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Month
17.65%
increased by 0.38%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 02:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 24, 2006 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 335% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 335% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0305 | 3.39*** |
| αARCH | 0.0266 | 2.10** |
| βGARCH | 0.9137 | 92.90*** |
| γleverage | 0.0891 | 3.52*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0305 | 3.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0266 | 2.10** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9137 | 92.90*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0891 | 3.52*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
Other Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on ETFs