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V-Lab

Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

17.97%

increased by 0.06%

1 Week

18.23%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

19.14%

increased by 1.23%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 02:23 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Invesco MSCI Sustainable Future ETF Fund AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 24, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

The news-impact curve is shifted (γ = 0.54) so that negative returns raise next-day volatility more than positive returns of the same size. The gap is largest for small shocks and narrows for larger ones.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0176
4.19***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0839
33.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8982
349.64***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5409
11.36***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days