V-Lab
iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 9th, 2026
1 Day
23.16%
decreased by 0.42%
1 Week
23.33%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
23.98%
increased by 0.40%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 11:31 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 23, 2000 to Sep 8, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 124% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 124% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0192 | 3.18*** |
| αARCH | 0.1645 | 10.67*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9846 | 319.99*** |
| γleverage | -0.0631 | -4.63*** |
0.985
Persistence45d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0192 | 3.18*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1645 | 10.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9846 | 319.99*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0631 | -4.63*** |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
Other iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on ETFs