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iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026

1 Day

31.72%

increased by 3.11%

1 Week

31.66%

increased by 3.05%

1 Month

31.44%

increased by 2.83%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 10:44 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/16/2024

to

10/16/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 125% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 125% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0190
3.16***
αARCH0.1632
10.64***
βGARCH0.9848
323.53***
γleverage-0.0628
-4.63***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0190
3.16***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1632
10.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9848
323.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0628
-4.63***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days