Skip to main content
V-Lab

iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

38.44%

decreased by 1.72%

1 Week

38.84%

decreased by 1.32%

1 Month

39.86%

decreased by 0.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 10:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of iShares MSCI Taiwan Capped ETF MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 23, 2000 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0270
8.95***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8192
108.53***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1244
23.74***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0095
4.36***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0430
5.08***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9538
105.75***

Persistence:

0.908

Half-life:

7 days