V-Lab
Renaissance International IPO ETF GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
23.26%
increased by 0.01%
1 Week
23.28%
increased by 0.03%
1 Month
23.33%
increased by 0.08%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 76% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0897 | 16.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0740 | 9.52*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8568 | 169.60*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0563 | 4.06*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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