V-Lab
Renaissance International IPO ETF MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
26.74%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
27.69%
increased by 0.90%
1 Month
29.93%
increased by 3.14%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 02:28 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 7, 2014 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 138% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 106 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0582 | 11.30*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8220 | 119.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0804 | 11.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1401 | 0.71 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.2184 | 0.65 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.7197 | 1.70* |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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