V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
55.98%
decreased by 0.87%
1 Week
58.20%
increased by 1.35%
1 Month
63.08%
increased by 6.23%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 09:19 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 8 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0603 | 6.46*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0882 | 1.58 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8245 | 7.45*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0859 | 0.41 |
Persistence:
0.913
Half-life:
8 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs