V-Lab
Purpose Solana ETF Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, September 16th, 2026
1 Day
63.00%
increased by 3.70%
1 Week
63.87%
increased by 4.57%
1 Month
65.74%
increased by 6.44%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 09:12 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 16, 2025 to Sep 11, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0835 | 6.62*** |
| αARCH | 0.0983 | 1.85* |
| βGARCH | 0.8033 | 7.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0936 | 0.53 |
0.902
Persistence7d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0835 | 6.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0983 | 1.85* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8033 | 7.51*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.0936 | 0.53 |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
Other Purpose Solana ETF Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on ETFs