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V-Lab
V-Lab

Schwab Core Bond ETF Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

2.69%

decreased by 0.07%

1 Week

2.70%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Month

2.75%

decreased by 0.01%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 10:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Schwab Core Bond ETF AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 2025 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0013
0.64
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8999
12.50***
γleverage0.1190
1.64

0.959

Persistence

17d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0013
0.64
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8999
12.50***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1190
1.64

Persistence:

0.959

Half-life:

17 days