V-Lab: Russell 2000 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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V-Lab

Russell 2000 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, March 25th, 2025:21.60% (-0.14%)

Analysis last updated: Monday, March 24, 2025 at 09:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	36
$α$	0.0229	9.07
$β$	0.8431	275.43
$γ$	0.1514	41.21
$λ_{1}$	0.0011	5.92
$λ_{2}$	0.0145	13.20
$λ_{3}$	0.9849	845.39

Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 21, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts