V-Lab: Ibovespa Brasil Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

V-Lab

Ibovespa Brasil Sao Paulo Stock Exchange Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility Prediction for Monday, September 22nd, 2025:13.77% (-0.14%)

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 19, 2025 at 09:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

Parameter Estimates

	param	t-stat
$m$	41
$α$	0.0000	0.01
$β$	0.8032	194.42
$γ$	0.1637	46.16
$λ_{1}$	0.0738	3.77
$λ_{2}$	0.2147	23.88
$λ_{3}$	0.7661	59.81

Estimation Period:
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 19, 2025

News Impact Curve

Impact of return on volatility tomorrow

Volatility Forecasts

Volatility Forecasts

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