S&P/TSX Composite Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 22nd, 2026
1 Day
13.75%
decreased by 0.47%
1 Week
13.97%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Month
14.59%
increased by 0.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 19, 2026 at 11:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | ||
| 0.0146 | 4.83 | |
| 0.8252 | 215.85 | |
| 0.1679 | 38.10 | |
| 0.0038 | 6.46 | |
| 0.0477 | 8.52 | |
| 0.9475 | 149.43 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 19, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 19, 2026
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