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V-Lab

Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026

1 Day

16.98%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

18.37%

increased by 1.24%

1 Month

21.22%

increased by 4.09%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Egyptian EGX 30 Price Return Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Aug 13, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 79% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0819
12.29***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7546
41.58***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0650
9.06***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.5659
1.20
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.7723
1.14
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days