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V-Lab
V-Lab

S&P BSE SENSEX Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

10.24%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

10.54%

decreased by 0.04%

1 Month

11.33%

increased by 0.75%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 12:11 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P BSE SENSEX Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 376% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 376% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0379
2.30**
βGARCH0.7873
37.28***
γleverage0.1424
7.27***
λ₁tau intercept0.0047
1.92*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0477
4.89***
λ₃tau persistence0.9509
100.68***

0.896

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0379
2.30**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7873
37.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1424
7.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0047
1.92*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0477
4.89***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9509
100.68***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days