V-Lab
S&P BSE SENSEX Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
13.81%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
14.17%
increased by 0.02%
1 Month
15.03%
increased by 0.88%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 12:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 380% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 21 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0377 | 9.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7852 | 105.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1431 | 22.08*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0050 | 3.75*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0482 | 6.41*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9503 | 121.74*** |
Persistence:
0.894
Half-life:
6 days
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