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V-Lab

S&P BSE SENSEX Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

10.72%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Week

10.88%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Month

11.46%

increased by 0.13%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 18, 2026 at 12:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P BSE SENSEX Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 375% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 375% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow21
αARCH0.0379
2.30**
βGARCH0.7874
37.28***
γleverage0.1421
7.27***
λ₁tau intercept0.0047
1.92*
λ₂forecast adj.0.0479
4.91***
λ₃tau persistence0.9508
100.56***

0.896

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0379
2.30**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7874
37.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1421
7.27***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0047
1.92*
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0479
4.91***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9508
100.56***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days