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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	36
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0246	5.27***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.8538	133.97***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.1074	18.97***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0104	6.41***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0283	3.72***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9669	117.10***

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Hong Kong Hang Seng Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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