Hong Kong Hang Seng Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, November 2nd, 2026
1 Day
20.76%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
20.93%
increased by 0.16%
1 Month
21.56%
increased by 0.79%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 30, 2026 at 09:09 AM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 30, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 102% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 102% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0192 | 3.99*** |
| αARCH | 0.1535 | 8.29*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9801 | 302.11*** |
| γleverage | -0.0519 | -3.35*** |
0.980
Persistence34d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0192 | 3.99*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1535 | 8.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9801 | 302.11*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0519 | -3.35*** |
Persistence:
0.980
Half-life:
34 days
Other Hong Kong Hang Seng Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices