V-Lab
Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
4.91%
decreased by 0.21%
1 Week
5.23%
increased by 0.11%
1 Month
6.54%
increased by 1.42%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0114 | -4.60*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1954 | 29.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9675 | 595.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0041 | 0.76 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
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