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V-Lab

Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4.91%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

5.23%

increased by 0.11%

1 Month

6.54%

increased by 1.42%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:24 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

-0.0114
-4.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1954
29.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9675
595.04***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0041
0.76

Persistence:

0.968

Half-life:

21 days