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V-Lab

Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

4.25%

decreased by 0.09%

1 Week

4.61%

increased by 0.27%

1 Month

5.72%

increased by 1.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 10:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0075
20.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1240
24.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8568
253.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0075
0.86

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days