V-Lab
Mauritius Stock Exchange SEMDEX Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
5.21%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
5.48%
increased by 0.27%
1 Month
6.37%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:19 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 45 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 45 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0075 | 20.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1240 | 24.37*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8568 | 253.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0075 | 0.86 |
Persistence:
0.985
Half-life:
45 days
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