HSI Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

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Spline Coefficients

Value at Risk (VaR) estimates the maximum loss at a given confidence level. Expected Shortfall (ES) estimates the average loss beyond VaR.

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Param	Value	t-stat
ωconst	0.0416	4.98***
αARCH	0.0410	3.31***
βGARCH	0.9032	96.99***
γleverage	0.0755	3.52***

Parameter	Value	t-statistic
ω const Unconditional variance weight	0.0416	4.98***
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.0410	3.31***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.9032	96.99***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0755	3.52***

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Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Date Range:

News Impact Curve

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