V-Lab
Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
18.01%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
18.26%
decreased by 0.38%
1 Month
19.14%
increased by 0.50%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0417 | 19.96*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0411 | 13.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9030 | 387.56*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0758 | 14.07*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
38 days
Other Hong Kong Hang Seng Index Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices