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Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, November 10th, 2026

1 Day

21.41%

decreased by 0.84%

1 Week

21.51%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Month

21.87%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Monday, November 9, 2026 at 09:03 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/09/2024

to

11/09/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 184% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0414
4.99***
αARCH0.0409
3.30***
βGARCH0.9036
97.49***
γleverage0.0751
3.51***

0.982

Persistence

38d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0414
4.99***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0409
3.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9036
97.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0751
3.51***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days