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V-Lab

Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

19.66%

decreased by 0.74%

1 Week

19.84%

decreased by 0.56%

1 Month

20.46%

increased by 0.06%

Analysis last updated: Monday, July 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Hong Kong Hang Seng Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0417
19.95***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0412
13.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9030
387.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0757
14.04***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

38 days