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S&P/TSX 60 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

15.46%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

15.45%

decreased by 0.70%

1 Month

15.41%

decreased by 0.74%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 09:54 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/TSX 60 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 373% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 373% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0137
5.86***
αARCH0.0293
3.33***
βGARCH0.9009
113.51***
γleverage0.1092
5.64***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0137
5.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0293
3.33***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9009
113.51***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1092
5.64***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days