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S&P/TSX 60 Index GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, November 11th, 2026

1 Day

17.28%

decreased by 0.49%

1 Week

17.22%

decreased by 0.55%

1 Month

17.00%

decreased by 0.77%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 09:55 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/10/2024

to

11/10/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of S&P/TSX 60 Index GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 6, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 372% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 372% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0137
5.86***
αARCH0.0294
3.34***
βGARCH0.9008
113.37***
γleverage0.1092
5.64***

0.985

Persistence

45d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0137
5.86***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0294
3.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9008
113.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1092
5.64***

Persistence:

0.985

Half-life:

45 days