V-Lab
S&P/TSX 60 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026
1 Day
11.55%
decreased by 0.64%
1 Week
11.69%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Month
12.22%
increased by 0.03%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:55 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 232% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0011 | 0.96 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1534 | 41.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9825 | 1,266.08*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0823 | -29.31*** |
Persistence:
0.982
Half-life:
39 days
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