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V-Lab

Tadawul All Share TASI Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Saturday, July 18th, 2026

1 Day

10.47%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Week

11.15%

decreased by 0.03%

1 Month

13.65%

increased by 2.47%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 05:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Tadawul All Share TASI Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 19, 1998 to Jul 15, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0291
18.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3108
55.52***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9583
595.23***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0860
-19.06***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days