V-Lab
Tadawul All Share TASI Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Saturday, August 22nd, 2026
1 Day
9.05%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
9.75%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
12.45%
increased by 2.80%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, August 20, 2026 at 05:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 19, 1998 to Aug 19, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 77% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0290 | 18.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3115 | 55.72*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9583 | 595.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0863 | -19.12*** |
Persistence:
0.958
Half-life:
16 days
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