Bangladesh Dhaka Stock Exchange Broad Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, July 19th, 2026
1 Day
10.13%
increased by 0.19%
1 Week
10.49%
increased by 0.55%
1 Month
11.49%
increased by 1.55%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 17, 2026 at 06:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 28, 2013 to Jul 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 32% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | -0.0263 | -3.83*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3248 | 33.42*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9301 | 137.95*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0449 | -4.27*** |
Persistence:
0.930
Half-life:
10 days
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