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V-Lab

AEX-Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

12.32%

increased by 1.04%

1 Week

12.55%

increased by 1.27%

1 Month

13.40%

increased by 2.12%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, September 10, 2026 at 04:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AEX-Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 291% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 291% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0075
1.13
αARCH0.1603
9.68***
βGARCH0.9776
242.83***
γleverage-0.0950
-6.66***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0075
1.13
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1603
9.68***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9776
242.83***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0950
-6.66***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days