V-Lab
AEX-Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 11th, 2026
1 Day
10.30%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Week
10.81%
decreased by 0.15%
1 Month
12.37%
increased by 1.41%
Analysis last updated: Monday, August 10, 2026 at 04:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jul 4, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 100% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0335 | 37.21*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1360 | 33.79*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7689 | 270.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1356 | 21.65*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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