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V-Lab
V-Lab

AEX-Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 9th, 2026

1 Day

12.97%

increased by 0.99%

1 Week

13.25%

increased by 1.27%

1 Month

14.16%

increased by 2.18%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 8, 2026 at 04:05 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/08/2024

to

10/08/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of AEX-Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jul 4, 1990 to Oct 2, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 99% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 99% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0332
9.30***
αARCH0.1365
8.48***
βGARCH0.7690
67.76***
γleverage0.1347
5.39***

0.973

Persistence

25d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0332
9.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1365
8.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7690
67.76***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1347
5.39***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days