V-Lab
OMX Stockholm 30 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
12.28%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Week
12.86%
increased by 0.48%
1 Month
14.66%
increased by 2.28%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 04:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 110% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0449 | 32.29*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1230 | 32.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7837 | 284.48*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1358 | 20.91*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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