OMX Stockholm 30 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 19th, 2026
1 Day
13.00%
decreased by 0.74%
1 Week
13.51%
decreased by 0.23%
1 Month
15.11%
increased by 1.37%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 04:16 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.
μ
AMEM Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 109% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0444 | 8.05*** |
| αARCH | 0.1232 | 8.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7842 | 71.40*** |
| γleverage | 0.1347 | 5.22*** |
0.975
Persistence27d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0444 | 8.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1232 | 8.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7842 | 71.40*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1347 | 5.22*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
27 days
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