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V-Lab

Russell 2000 Index Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

15.83%

decreased by 1.18%

1 Week

16.03%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Month

16.75%

decreased by 0.26%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Russell 2000 Index AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 109% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0303
26.57***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1280
35.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7848
274.02***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1400
21.32***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days