Russell 2000 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 21st, 2026
1 Day
24.19%
increased by 2.93%
1 Week
24.34%
increased by 3.08%
1 Month
24.82%
increased by 3.56%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 21, 2026 at 12:11 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7674 | 6.41 | |
| 0.1077 | 10.60 | |
| 0.8558 | 72.16 | |
| 0.0353 | 3.75 | |
| -0.0467 | -3.23 | |
| 0.0015 | 0.14 | |
| 0.0244 | 2.80 | |
| -0.0218 | -3.60 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to May 15, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to May 15, 2026
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