Russell 2000 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, January 29th, 2026:19.51% (-0.58%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6648 | 6.08 | |
| 0.1084 | 10.06 | |
| 0.8461 | 64.40 | |
| 0.0016 | 0.05 | |
| 0.0545 | 1.12 | |
| -0.1212 | -3.78 | |
| 0.1075 | 4.32 | |
| -0.0925 | -4.03 | |
| 0.0846 | 3.39 | |
| -0.0270 | -1.15 | |
| -0.0220 | -1.34 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 23, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 23, 2026
News Impact Curve
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