Russell 2000 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, January 8th, 2026:19.63% (-0.71%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6632 | 6.07 | |
| 0.1085 | 10.06 | |
| 0.8459 | 64.27 | |
| 0.0010 | 0.03 | |
| 0.0559 | 1.14 | |
| -0.1224 | -3.81 | |
| 0.1085 | 4.37 | |
| -0.0932 | -4.06 | |
| 0.0843 | 3.38 | |
| -0.0254 | -1.08 | |
| -0.0235 | -1.42 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 2, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 2, 2026
News Impact Curve
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