MSCI USA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 6th, 2026
1 Day
19.79%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Week
19.67%
decreased by 1.23%
1 Month
19.26%
decreased by 1.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, April 3, 2026 at 10:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3295 | 7.62 | |
| 0.0958 | 10.07 | |
| 0.8744 | 78.56 | |
| 0.0816 | 6.10 | |
| -0.1301 | -6.01 | |
| 0.0758 | 4.89 | |
| -0.0486 | -3.54 | |
| 0.0431 | 2.78 | |
| -0.0315 | -2.64 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 2, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 2, 2026
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