MSCI USA Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, June 22nd, 2026
1 Day
18.05%
decreased by 0.12%
1 Week
18.03%
decreased by 0.14%
1 Month
17.96%
decreased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, June 19, 2026 at 09:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3243 | 7.63 | |
| 0.0954 | 10.08 | |
| 0.8746 | 78.77 | |
| 0.0804 | 6.12 | |
| -0.1283 | -6.03 | |
| 0.0746 | 4.86 | |
| -0.0472 | -3.50 | |
| 0.0419 | 2.75 | |
| -0.0312 | -2.65 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 18, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 18, 2026
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