S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Thursday, January 15th, 2026:10.71% (+0.09%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3648 | 7.70 | |
| 0.1027 | 10.21 | |
| 0.8655 | 73.74 | |
| 0.0890 | 6.44 | |
| -0.1407 | -6.30 | |
| 0.0811 | 4.98 | |
| -0.0527 | -3.55 | |
| 0.0461 | 2.71 | |
| -0.0324 | -2.48 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 9, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 9, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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