S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, April 16th, 2026
1 Day
18.04%
decreased by 0.55%
1 Week
18.01%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Month
17.93%
decreased by 0.66%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, April 16, 2026 at 12:22 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3600 | 7.69 | |
| 0.1021 | 10.22 | |
| 0.8662 | 74.33 | |
| 0.0874 | 6.45 | |
| -0.1384 | -6.30 | |
| 0.0797 | 4.93 | |
| -0.0512 | -3.51 | |
| 0.0452 | 2.71 | |
| -0.0326 | -2.54 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 10, 2026
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