S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 7th, 2026
1 Day
14.69%
increased by 1.45%
1 Week
14.89%
increased by 1.65%
1 Month
15.53%
increased by 2.29%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 7, 2026 at 12:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3587 | 7.69 | |
| 0.1022 | 10.22 | |
| 0.8659 | 74.18 | |
| 0.0869 | 6.46 | |
| -0.1377 | -6.31 | |
| 0.0792 | 4.92 | |
| -0.0504 | -3.48 | |
| 0.0442 | 2.67 | |
| -0.0319 | -2.50 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to May 1, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to May 1, 2026
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