S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, May 28th, 2026
1 Day
12.34%
decreased by 0.48%
1 Week
12.72%
decreased by 0.10%
1 Month
13.91%
increased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, May 28, 2026 at 12:27 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3562 | 7.69 | |
| 0.1020 | 10.21 | |
| 0.8660 | 74.17 | |
| 0.0867 | 6.48 | |
| -0.1375 | -6.34 | |
| 0.0790 | 4.93 | |
| -0.0500 | -3.47 | |
| 0.0435 | 2.65 | |
| -0.0314 | -2.47 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to May 22, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to May 22, 2026
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