S&P 500 Index Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, June 18th, 2026
1 Day
18.14%
increased by 0.14%
1 Week
18.12%
increased by 0.12%
1 Month
18.04%
increased by 0.04%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, June 18, 2026 at 12:24 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3697 | 7.76 | |
| 0.1021 | 10.23 | |
| 0.8662 | 74.47 | |
| 0.0871 | 6.54 | |
| -0.1379 | -6.38 | |
| 0.0791 | 4.94 | |
| -0.0502 | -3.48 | |
| 0.0442 | 2.69 | |
| -0.0324 | -2.55 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jun 12, 2026
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