S&P 500 Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Monday, March 16th, 2026:13.66% (-0.36%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3677 | 7.95 | |
| 0.1016 | 10.05 | |
| 0.8649 | 72.32 | |
| 0.0907 | 6.82 | |
| -0.1439 | -6.70 | |
| 0.0847 | 5.38 | |
| -0.0586 | -3.99 | |
| 0.0588 | 3.09 | |
| -0.0641 | -2.12 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 13, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Mar 13, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
Other S&P 500 Index Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices