S&P 500 Index Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility Prediction for Tuesday, January 20th, 2026:8.86% (-0.28%)
Parameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3718 | 7.97 | |
| 0.1022 | 10.05 | |
| 0.8641 | 71.67 | |
| 0.0917 | 6.83 | |
| -0.1456 | -6.72 | |
| 0.0862 | 5.45 | |
| -0.0611 | -4.11 | |
| 0.0630 | 3.23 | |
| -0.0733 | -2.31 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 16, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Jan 16, 2026
News Impact Curve
Volatility Forecasts
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