Dow Jones Industrial Average Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, April 20th, 2026
1 Day
16.84%
increased by 1.79%
1 Week
16.69%
increased by 1.64%
1 Month
16.21%
increased by 1.16%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
| param | t-stat | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4594 | 7.13 | |
| 0.1020 | 9.57 | |
| 0.8654 | 71.95 | |
| 0.0757 | 5.76 | |
| -0.1185 | -5.61 | |
| 0.0662 | 4.29 | |
| -0.0408 | -2.89 | |
| 0.0404 | 2.30 | |
| -0.0477 | -1.72 |
Estimation Period:
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
Jan 1, 1990 to Apr 17, 2026
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