Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Dow Jones Industrial Average Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

10.15%

decreased by 0.06%

1 Week

10.45%

increased by 0.24%

1 Month

11.45%

increased by 1.24%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Dow Jones Industrial Average AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 181% more than equivalent positive returns.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 181% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0205
9.00***
αARCH0.0999
7.44***
βGARCH0.7905
76.80***
γleverage0.1806
6.81***

0.981

Persistence

36d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0205
9.00***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0999
7.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7905
76.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1806
6.81***

Persistence:

0.981

Half-life:

36 days