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Dow Jones Industrial Average EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

16.03%

increased by 0.38%

1 Week

16.06%

increased by 0.41%

1 Month

16.15%

increased by 0.50%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 12:03 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Dow Jones Industrial Average EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0023
0.27
αARCH0.1562
9.71***
βGARCH0.9709
190.82***
γleverage-0.1210
-8.37***

0.971

Persistence

23d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

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ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0023
0.27
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1562
9.71***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9709
190.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.1210
-8.37***

Persistence:

0.971

Half-life:

23 days