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V-Lab

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026

1 Day

98.83%

increased by 11.39%

1 Week

96.49%

increased by 9.05%

1 Month

88.54%

increased by 1.10%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:09 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 67% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0151
16.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1852
51.20***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9892
1,769.54***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0466
-14.24***

Persistence:

0.989

Half-life:

64 days