V-Lab
Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 3rd, 2026
1 Day
98.83%
increased by 11.39%
1 Week
96.49%
increased by 9.05%
1 Month
88.54%
increased by 1.10%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 31, 2026 at 09:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 67% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0151 | 16.67*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1852 | 51.20*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9892 | 1,769.54*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0466 | -14.24*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
64 days
Other Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices