Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 15th, 2026
1 Day
15.50%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
15.62%
decreased by 0.58%
1 Month
16.07%
decreased by 0.13%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 06:55 PM UTC
Press Delete or Backspace to remove this series.
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0072 | 1.14 |
| αARCH | 0.1283 | 4.08*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9752 | 253.43*** |
| γleverage | -0.1019 | -8.52*** |
0.975
Persistence28d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0072 | 1.14 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1283 | 4.08*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9752 | 253.43*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.1019 | -8.52*** |
Persistence:
0.975
Half-life:
28 days
Other Dow Jones Euro Stoxx Index Analyses
Other EGARCH Analyses on Equity Indices