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V-Lab

Russell 2000 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

18.14%

decreased by 0.94%

1 Week

18.22%

decreased by 0.86%

1 Month

18.50%

decreased by 0.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:55 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Russell 2000 Index EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 228% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 228% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0102
1.82*
αARCH0.1655
11.22***
βGARCH0.9782
302.75***
γleverage-0.0881
-8.01***

0.978

Persistence

31d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0102
1.82*
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1655
11.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9782
302.75***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0881
-8.01***

Persistence:

0.978

Half-life:

31 days