OMX Stockholm 30 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 17th, 2026
1 Day
15.85%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
16.06%
decreased by 0.61%
1 Month
16.85%
increased by 0.18%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, July 16, 2026 at 04:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 247% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0136 | 8.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1533 | 44.29*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9793 | 1,019.06*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0847 | -25.53*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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