V-Lab
OMX Stockholm 30 Index EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
11.02%
increased by 0.05%
1 Week
11.34%
increased by 0.37%
1 Month
12.56%
increased by 1.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 04:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 245% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0135 | 8.39*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1540 | 44.50*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9794 | 1,023.37*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0848 | -25.66*** |
Persistence:
0.979
Half-life:
33 days
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