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V-Lab

OMX Stockholm 30 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, November 16th, 2026

1 Day

12.71%

decreased by 0.37%

1 Week

13.11%

increased by 0.03%

1 Month

14.34%

increased by 1.26%

Analysis last updated: Friday, November 13, 2026 at 05:13 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

11/13/2024

to

11/13/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of OMX Stockholm 30 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Nov 13, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0074
0.68
βGARCH0.8657
87.36***
γleverage0.1505
9.71***
λ₁tau intercept0.0233
2.24**
λ₂forecast adj.0.1077
3.37***
λ₃tau persistence0.8786
24.55***

0.948

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0074
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8657
87.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1505
9.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0233
2.24**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1077
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8786
24.55***

Persistence:

0.948

Half-life:

13 days