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V-Lab

OMX Stockholm 30 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

20.30%

decreased by 1.08%

1 Week

20.03%

decreased by 1.35%

1 Month

19.32%

decreased by 2.06%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 23, 2026 at 04:08 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of OMX Stockholm 30 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow66
αARCH0.0074
0.68
βGARCH0.8663
88.06***
γleverage0.1503
9.71***
λ₁tau intercept0.0235
2.24**
λ₂forecast adj.0.1072
3.36***
λ₃tau persistence0.8792
24.55***

0.949

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

66
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0074
0.68
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8663
88.06***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1503
9.71***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0235
2.24**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1072
3.36***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.8792
24.55***

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days