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V-Lab

FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026

1 Day

9.40%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

9.77%

increased by 0.10%

1 Month

10.52%

increased by 0.85%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8344
68.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1869
12.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
2.42**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0360
3.37***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9584
77.97***

Persistence:

0.928

Half-life:

9 days