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V-Lab

FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

9.60%

decreased by 0.13%

1 Week

10.19%

increased by 0.46%

1 Month

11.55%

increased by 1.82%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

41
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.01
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8336
229.95***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1872
49.82***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0052
6.22***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0361
6.60***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9582
153.31***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days