V-Lab
FTSE 100 Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 7th, 2026
1 Day
9.40%
decreased by 0.27%
1 Week
9.77%
increased by 0.10%
1 Month
10.52%
increased by 0.85%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 4, 2026 at 05:04 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8344 | 68.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1869 | 12.82*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0052 | 2.42** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0360 | 3.37*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9584 | 77.97*** |
Persistence:
0.928
Half-life:
9 days
Other FTSE 100 Index Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices