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V-Lab

FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

21.39%

increased by 6.84%

1 Week

21.07%

increased by 6.52%

1 Month

20.71%

increased by 6.16%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 11:21 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of FTSE World Italy Large Cap Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1998 to Apr 30, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8087
129.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1920
22.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0127
4.42***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0662
5.16***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9278
70.42***

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days