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V-Lab

Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, August 6th, 2026

1 Day

14.75%

decreased by 0.21%

1 Week

15.14%

increased by 0.18%

1 Month

16.21%

increased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0167
7.85***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8418
197.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1550
33.47***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0035
7.01***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0241
9.04***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9740
337.25***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days