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V-Lab

Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 14th, 2026

1 Day

14.88%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

15.14%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Month

15.83%

increased by 0.44%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 12:56 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mexican Stock Exchange Mexican Bolsa IPC Index MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 11, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow26
αARCH0.0165
2.16**
βGARCH0.8421
59.13***
γleverage0.1546
9.03***
λ₁tau intercept0.0035
2.04**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0243
4.56***
λ₃tau persistence0.9738
170.27***

0.936

Persistence

10d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0165
2.16**
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8421
59.13***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1546
9.03***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0035
2.04**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0243
4.56***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9738
170.27***

Persistence:

0.936

Half-life:

10 days