V-Lab
EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
17.42%
decreased by 0.82%
1 Week
17.58%
decreased by 0.66%
1 Month
18.03%
decreased by 0.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8471 | 246.62*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1790 | 37.12*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0063 | 5.49*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0218 | 3.25*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9737 | 127.01*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on Equity Indices