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V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026

1 Day

12.49%

decreased by 0.15%

1 Week

13.25%

increased by 0.61%

1 Month

14.95%

increased by 2.31%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:19 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8473
248.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1792
37.23***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0063
5.53***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0216
3.27***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9739
129.25***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days