Skip to main content
V-Lab

EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

17.42%

decreased by 0.82%

1 Week

17.58%

decreased by 0.66%

1 Month

18.03%

decreased by 0.21%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 06:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of EURO STOXX 50 Price EUR MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8471
246.62***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1790
37.12***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0063
5.49***
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0218
3.25***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9737
127.01***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days