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V-Lab
V-Lab

NASDAQ 100 MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

18.69%

decreased by 0.51%

1 Week

19.50%

increased by 0.30%

1 Month

20.72%

increased by 1.52%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 5, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NASDAQ 100 MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.8221
55.77***
γleverage0.1868
12.45***
λ₁tau intercept0.0086
2.01**
λ₂forecast adj.0.0457
3.72***
λ₃tau persistence0.9505
71.78***

0.916

Persistence

8d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8221
55.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1868
12.45***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0086
2.01**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0457
3.72***
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9505
71.78***

Persistence:

0.916

Half-life:

8 days