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V-Lab

NASDAQ 100 MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

19.68%

increased by 2.41%

1 Week

19.93%

increased by 2.66%

1 Month

20.82%

increased by 3.55%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 12:05 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of NASDAQ 100 MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 1, 1990 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 39 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 39 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 39-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0478
2.49**
αARCH0.2298
13.82***
βGARCH0.7524
66.59***

0.982

Persistence

39d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0478
2.49**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2298
13.82***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7524
66.59***

Persistence:

0.982

Half-life:

39 days